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  • US Leading Indicators - The Conference Board
    The LEI has fallen by 2 7% in the six-month period ending May 2025, a much faster rate of decline than the 1 4% contraction over the previous six months “The LEI for the US fell again in May, but only marginally,” said Justyna Zabinska-La Monica, Senior Manager, Business Cycle Indicators, at The Conference Board
  • Global Leading Indicators - The Conference Board
    LEI for Brazil Increased in May June 13, 2025 PRESS RELEASE The LEI for Germany Retreated in April
  • Global LEI Report - The Conference Board
    About The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI) and The Conference Board Coincident Economic Index® (CEI) for the global economy The composite indexes are the key elements in an early warning system to signal peaks and troughs in the global business cycle The CEI is a monthly metric that is highly correlated with real GDP
  • US LEI Chartbook - The Conference Board
    US LEI Chartbook June 17, 2022 | Report The indicator approach was originated in the mid-1930s by
  • LEI for Australia Increased in April - conference-board. org
    The LEI grew by 0 9% over the six-month period from October 2024 to April 2025, after being unchanged over the previous six-month period between April and October 2024 The Conference Board Coincident Economic Index ® (CEI) for Australia increased by 0 3% in April 2025 to 117 6 (2016=100), after ticking up by 0 1% in March
  • The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI) for the US Plunged . . .
    Weakness across nearly all of the LEI’s ten components fueled April’s decline The LEI’s six-month growth rate declined further in April, but remained slightly above the recession signal threshold NOTE: The chart illustrates the so-called 3Ds—duration, depth, and diffusion—for interpreting a downward movement in the LEI
  • LEI for the UK Continued to Fall in April - conference-board. org
    The 6-month growth rate of the UK LEI has cooled but remained above the recession threshold Overall, the LEI reading suggests that, after a stronger than expected first quarter, economic growth in the United Kingdom will likely moderate in the remainder of 2025 The Conference Board expects UK GDP to grow by 1 4% in 2025 after 1 1% in 2024 ”
  • LEI for China Decreased Again - conference-board. org
    “The China LEI decreased again in April,” said Malala Lin, Economic Research Associate, at The Conference Board “For at least 6 months, the month-on-month declines in the LEI have primarily been driven by persistent weakness in three components: consumer expectations, logistics prosperity index and new export orders in manufacturing
  • LEI for the Euro Area Declined Again in May
    The 6-month growth rate of the Euro Area LEI was just above the recession threshold, but overall weakness in its components persisted and continue to warn of risks ahead NOTE: The chart illustrates the so-called 3Ds—duration, depth, and diffusion—for interpreting a downward movement in the LEI Duration refers to how long the decline has
  • Leading Economic Indicators and the Oncoming Recession
    The LEI acts as a predictor of turning points because as a composite index it summarizes the consensus of forward-looking indicators from different areas of economic activity On average, the LEI level peaks 11-12 months ahead of a peak in the business cycle (Chart 1)





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